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Overview

Can we forecast leprosy incidence by district in India?

Things to consider

• This group is recommended for:
  • all participants
• This group will have the opportunity to engage in any of the following:
  • conduct longitudinal statistical fitting
  • fit mathematical models of transmission
  • forecast incidence

Background

Leprosy is one of ten diseases targeted for elimination in the London Declaration. It is a bacterial disease caused by a mycobacterium, similar to tuberculosis. It is a slow disease, and most people seem to be intrinsically resistant. One question is whether it can be “eliminated” by 2020, and this is one of the goals of a Gates-funded Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTD) consortium.

Data

• Data from the Indian leprosy control program are online and have been put into a spreadsheet for us to look at.

Resources

References

• Download references